RWA Ecosystem Game Theory Explanation
Last updated
Last updated
In the simplest RWA Ecosystem model, there are two players and three possible actions:
Stake RWA
Buy Bonds
Sell RWA
When staking RWA increases returns, the price of RWA rises, and players are more likely to stake. When staking returns decrease and prices fall, players are more inclined to sell RWA. When players are not significantly impacted and have no strong bias, they are more likely to buy bonds (since bonds are discounted, offering arbitrage opportunities, as explained in the whitepaper's bond contract section).
Staking RWA increases the price by +2, while selling RWA lowers the price by -2. Players engaging in RWA swing trading can earn a 50% return. Buying bonds without staking RWA has no impact on the price but provides a +1 profit due to the bond discount.
From the table, we can see that the optimal strategy is for both players to cooperate, with the result being 6 when both stake RWA. If one buys bonds and the other stakes, the result is 4. Selling/staking or selling/buying bonds results in a neutral outcome (0). The worst outcome occurs when both players don't trust each other and compete to sell, resulting in -6.
Players' actions depend on premiums, market outlook, macroeconomic conditions, and various other factors. The numbers aren't the focus; the table is meant to highlight the positive environment created by cooperation.
Cooperation leads to the best outcome. If you're not committed long-term, we suggest not participating. We don't need individuals who sell BTC at $50,000 and buy back at $30,000. Perhaps the RWA you hold is a better version of BTC.
